You don’t have to take my word for it. Let’s compare the average of pre-election polls — computed by FiveThirtyEight and ...
ABC News is projecting that Trump is expected to win Indiana’s 11 electoral votes. That is not a surprise. In previous ...
President Joe Biden pulled ahead of former President Donald Trump in FiveThirtyEight’s latest average of polls with the president leading in the last five national polls measured. Biden posted ...
Just before Election Day, national polls indicate a tight presidential race. How accurate are the polls, and when will we ...
Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major ... which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.
Polls are more reliable in swing states, especially in the Sun Belt. Want to know who will win the 2024 presidential election? Flip a coin. The race is very likely to come down to seven key swing ...
National polls indicate a tight presidential race on Election Day. How accurate are the polls, and when will we know who won?
Veteran pollster Nate Silver said Friday’s Marist poll bodes well for Vice President Harris’s campaign, with just days until ...
How can two polls say two different things? And can you even trust polls, anyway? Here at 538, we cover polls year-round, so we'd like to share with you some tips we've learned over the years ...
That's why we do things like publish ratings of pollster accuracy and transparency and make complex election forecasting ...