Assuming that whoever gets the first overall pick gets Flagg, the Wizards have a 14.0% chance of taking the Duke star. They are tied with Utah and Charlotte with this probability, with New Orleans and Philadelphia not too far behind with a 12.5% and 10.5% chance, respectively.

Since the NBA flattened the draft lottery odds in 2019, the three teams with the worst records all have a 14% chance of landing the first pick. On three occasions — in 2019, 2023, and 2024 — two of the three teams with 14% odds ended up falling out of the top three entirely.

The NBA will have a massive influx of youth when the 2025 draft rolls around this summer. The league announced on Tuesday that 106 players declared for this year's draft as early entry candidates, led by projected top-two picks Cooper Flagg of Duke and Dylan Harper of Rutgers: One name notably missing from the list is UConn junior forward Alex Karaban,